tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-276522592024-03-13T16:20:55.600-07:00Predict technology business trendsDhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.comBlogger26125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-56281475536147379162010-06-02T14:07:00.000-07:002010-06-02T14:17:29.642-07:00iPAD before iPhoneIts stupidity on my part that I didnt write this obvious fact earlier when I have discussed with my friends many times.<br /><span style="font-size:100%;"><br /></span><h1 style="font-family: arial;" id="yn-title"><span style="font-size:100%;">Apple's Jobs says iPad idea came before iPhone</span></h1><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100602/ap_on_hi_te/us_apple_ipad">http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100602/ap_on_hi_te/us_apple_ipad</a><br /><br />iPAD idea was fully thought through before iPhone in Apple buildings. iPhone was made not to revolutionize phone industry but how to get people transition into new wave of computing without (mouse/keyboard) in small steps. Phone industry is an after affect and isnt cause of iPhone. Its difficult to push people into a new direction but to entice them and gradually make them comfortable with new stuff is lot easier. iPad in mid-2000s would have been grand failure as people would have never believed in virtual keyboard and motion. iPhone was easier to make people practice new computing way...<br /><br />I am glad I wrote the next steps early enough.. Also, macbooks will be become foldable books with glasses on both sides and keyboards and mouse pads will go away....Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-68019957452031803882010-03-04T11:42:00.001-08:002010-03-04T11:47:09.193-08:00Update to "India After Gandhi"<span style="font-size:100%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Just had an urge to post on my blog as I read the following:</span><br /></span><h1 style="font-family: arial; color: rgb(153, 51, 0); font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size:100%;">ULFA vice-chairman released from Assam jail : </span><span style="font-size:100%;">"I will now go to the people of Assam to seek their support in our effort to find a political solution to the conflict and pay tribute to the thousands of members of the outfit who had sacrificed their lives while fighting for the cause championed by the ULFA," he said."</span></h1><span style="font-size:100%;"><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Every Indian will come to the terms of one India sooner or later in his/her life and become part of it. He/She will still hold his/her regional uniqueness via democracy. This has happened since independence and will continue to do so... What an amazing nation...</span></span>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-35269288791491157892010-01-07T21:07:00.000-08:002010-01-07T21:45:11.802-08:00Apple after iSlate/iPadPeople are currently obsessed with Apple's tablet. I would like to add one more to the tablet form. It'll be as thin as presentation foil and will be pure translucent/transparent glass... Apple always had fascination with glass and people to see through the computers since Apple 1997.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Now lets come to main point:</span><br /><br />What is Apple planning to do after launching tablet late Jan? Lets jump 5 years ahead.<br /><br />Apple is preparing for 3 d computing business... As they prepared us for non-key inserting computing by introducing iPhone, we'll prepared for 3d computing in 2013/2014 with 2010 tablet introduction.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">How? </span><br />Tablet will have 2D software to start with. OSX variations will keep updating tablet and then 3D functions will start getting added to it for next few years. Meanwhile tablet HW will keep evolving under the hood. HW process geometry is going to get smaller, hence taking care of power on a person's lap. Also longer life batteries will elongate the tablet life. Then Apple will launch in 2014 a 3d glasses and software which makes you use fingers in software to flip through windows, apps, etc. Motion sensing software already exists and is widely in use with Wii. Every other computer software person in gaming arena wants to perfect this art.<br />Example: Coverflow or Safari which has 3D orientation in 2D screen. Think when you can insert your finger into album cover and flip it and just need a presentation foil thin tablet with 3D glasses.<br /><br />Mouse during its introduction in 80s was thought to be stupid idea and why people will take it with computer.... But it happened. Apple introduced it... Someone else commoditized it and made fame and fortune from the resulting computing phenomenon... Remember Apple wasn't driver after Steve left the company..<br /><br />I think Apple is submitting patents (have already, in process, more to come).... As patent process is already slow and backlogged, these patents will emerge after 2011 and people will start figuring out what is exactly going on with Tablet.<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Why? </span><br />Apple under Steve want people to stop thinking of 80/90s computing... It has big imprint of microsoft which stole glory from Apple and people forget that Apple introduced that style of computing. Its always said again and again that Steve want people to do computing as he tells them to do but 90s style contains other people which doesn't go well with Apple, so turn people to something completely different and make them forget 80/90/2000s computing style.<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Affects:</span><br /><br />It shall change consumer interaction with computing altogether.<br /><br />Business will have to think how they'll change business apps and make it more productive which is always their motto..<br /><br />Conclusion:<br />Steve will retire in 2015 as people' transition into new style of computing... Business is also personal and has big imprints of an individual's emotion.<br /><br />http://dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2009/11/mac-tablet.html<br /><br />http://dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2007/07/argument-about-apple-laptops-without.html<br /><br />http://dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2007/06/iphone-future-of-computing-steve-jobs.htmlDhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-56291558254141731802010-01-01T20:03:00.000-08:002010-01-01T20:04:54.682-08:003 idiots and Five Point SomeoneMy comments in Chetan's blog:<br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">Chetan,</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">I like your books but am not your fanatic fan. I have issues with your follow-on books' content and material but coming back to FPS.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">I was shocked how Vidhu shouted at media when he was confronted with truth. I am pretty sure he could have been shut right away if any person who has read FPS was present there.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">Basic plot of 3 idiots goes with your book. Characters have variations but these were created after 3 idiots writer read your book, got the copyrights and started tempering to suit the screenplay and cinematic version. As 3 idiots further had twists it was pleasure to watch FPS in another form...But its shame how Vidhu's company is trying to shove his plagiarism on FPS readers.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">On other hand, has anyone read "Q&A"? The book is completely different than Slumdog Millionaire. Only basic theme and not the plot is same about winning "Who wants to be millionaire". Danny Boyle still had Vikas Swarup at every conceived honorary function for his movie (Oscars, Golden Globe,etc). That movie and book are 2-3% corelated.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">3 idiots and FPS are more corelated than 2-3%...</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">Looking forward to your next book.. Please go back to your first style of fiery and passionate writing and not masala books.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">Readers expect a lot from talent like you. :)</span><br /><br /><span style="font-style: italic;">- Dhiraj</span>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-73103140899792949962009-11-30T03:47:00.001-08:002009-11-30T03:48:59.829-08:00Mac TabletJust wanted to note down that<br />I believe<br /><br />Mac tablet will be thinner than Macbook Air, Kindle and other thinnest gadgets available today. It may have thinness compared to gloss sheet or presentation transparent sheets which were used in 90's.<br /><br />My 2 cents.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-32986296185492646612009-01-31T23:09:00.000-08:002009-01-31T23:12:33.844-08:00Progression - Luck By ChanceWhat it feels, when an individual takes next giant leap into his/her future. It is the hardwork, smartness, learning, risk-embrace attitude. As usual it can not be smooth start, but take all of them as learning hard way process that makes a person stronger and confident. Opportunities are created by people themselves. Sometimes they are presented, and then they are grown by these people themselves. So it is religion of everyone to work towards their goal and aspirations. Mediocre don’t have aspirations but only desires. Desires can be compromised but aspirations cannot be compromised. A person will live and breathe his/her aspirations. Definitely bind your aspiration with your near ones and dear ones. It cannot be bigger than family. A balance between personal life and professional aspirations is a must for happy and content life. I fully believe that we don’t know the path we’ll go on to achieve our goals but we’ll achieve our goals. God helps a person achieve his goals but path has to be left upto him.<br /><br />Some Swami Vivekananda quotes on this:“The world is the great gymnasium where we come to make ourselves strong.”<br />“Our duty is to encourage every one in his struggle to live up to his own highest idea, and strive at the same time to make the ideal as near as possible to the Truth.”<br />“Take up one idea. Make that one idea your life - think of it, dream of it, live on that idea. Let the brain, muscles, nerves, every part of your body, be full of that idea, and just leave every other idea alone. This is the way to success, that is way great spiritual giants are produced.”“We are responsible for what we are, and whatever we wish ourselves to be, we have the power to make ourselves. If what we are now has been the result of our own past actions, it certainly follows that whatever we wish to be in future can be produced by our present actions; so we have to know how to act.”<br /><br />“Condemn none: if you can stretch out a helping hand, do so. If you cannot, fold your hands, bless your brothers, and let them go their own way.”<br /><br />“It is our own mental attitude which makes the world what it is for us. Our thought make things beautiful, our thoughts make things ugly. The whole world is in our own minds. Learn to see things in the proper light. First, believe in this world, that”<br /><br />“If you think about disaster, you will get it. Brood about death and you hasten your demise. Think positively and masterfully, with confidence and faith, and life becomes more secure, more fraught with action, richer in achievement and experience.”<br /><br />“The greatest religion is to be true to your own nature. Have faith in yourselves!”<br /><br />“We are what our thoughts have made us; so take care about what you think. Words are secondary. Thoughts live; they travel far.”Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-73200196996157041842009-01-31T22:57:00.000-08:002009-01-31T23:09:12.116-08:00Thoughts about India After Gandhi - Ramachandra Guha<span style="font-family: arial;">India After Gandhi.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Its fat book when you pick up but cant keep down until last page. I read it straight through one day while I was on plane. School or colleges never showed Indian history after 1947. India won independence.. Tryst with destiny... Partition. Chapter finished. Social Sciences (History is over). </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">I think our parent's generation is responsible for not progressing this part of history to us. On the other hand I think they are not entirely to be blamed. People tend not to think of their life as history. Same for that generation. </span><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Generation which was born in 1940's or very early 1950 for them these events are non-historical. Its part of their lives. They saw 50's,60's, 70's politics and India. They shaped the country with the events. For them, it is continuation of their present in reverse direction. History teaches lesson but in present you keep acting. The politics (I wont go in details), they have seen it all. Controversies, dramas, headlines, rise and fall, movements have been part of their life, so they are not perturbed as much with today's happening and today's youth commotion. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">But what fears me most is the following: With this generation gone, do we have good historians who have captured 50,60, 70 times so that our generation and coming one will understand what India was and how it transformed rather than looking through microscopic lens of some media sensational headlines. I feel remorse that our parents haven't shared deeply with us about the issues of their childhood, youth at (country/state/city level) with us in details to make us feel valued of progress or changes in last 50 - 60 years. They have remained engrossed in our upbringing and making everything right for us. But in that upbringing they forgot to teach us how that time was. What were major turning events? etc. My father gives my tidbits by throwing some names when he was kid or young. I search on wikipedia and get shocked that what I think is today a major issue has large shaded of something as controversial and dynamic some 30 - 40 years ago.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">I dont think our generation will ever count Mandal commission/babri masjid/economic liberalization as history. They are major events of our life and we will keep moving with them. Generation after 20 - 30 years may think of these events as history. How many kids who were in colleges or schools in north india during 1989 - 1993 remember the agitation, self immolation, banning of india-today issue for mandal commission. We'll say "it was the time".</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">I am not commenting if events are good or bad, but their impact. Like in the book, fight of indian classical music and film inspired music is so fascinating. People who helped migrants after partition had the strength which makes me bow my head to those nameless servants of my country. Single person who reshaped map of india (Linguistic), first CEC, countless other people, concept to create of big state enterprises to make social impact of unity and integrity. IAS exam is big thing today but what about people who competed in it during those years and got rejected in final interviews, which is very less today.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">IIMA, who remembers in general public about first GM of HLL (now unilever), who brought that concept or other numerous industry leaders. Its not only Tatas or Ambanis or Nirma or Birla. There are many countless industry leaders and philosophisies which have been implemented in India and reshaped the country. </span>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-201603355239352007-09-15T09:24:00.000-07:002007-09-15T09:27:02.676-07:00my comment<p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal">People fondly reminisce their past but are not easily inspired by it – Dhiraj Sehgal</p>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-89493779966184871092007-07-08T08:22:00.000-07:002007-07-08T08:50:08.180-07:00iPhone browser interface and wifiI wrote this on Dec 6, 2006 even before the macworld launch in Jan about iPhone, its wi-fi ( wimax) and internet browser capabilities.<br /><br />1 strike :)<a href="http://dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2006/12/iphone-wimax-and-webpage-browsing.html"><br /></a><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><a href="http://dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2006/12/iphone-wimax-and-webpage-browsing.html"><br />My post on Dec'06</a><br /></span><a href="http://http//dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2006/12/iphone-wimax-and-webpage-browsing.html"></a>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-85050753734753551462007-07-05T18:00:00.000-07:002007-07-08T08:51:51.146-07:00Argument about Apple laptops without physical keys.<p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal">Glad to see people participating and Thinksecret website letting me post my thoughts. (No Spams :))</p><p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://forums.applenova.com/showthread.php?t=24651">My post on Thinksecret website.</a><br /></p><p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal">I highly appreciate everyone’s comments for my post. I fully respect everyone’s thoughts and arguments (for & against).</p>My focus of this post wasn't a technical assessment or discuss concept novelty but plain simple force with which Apple can bring or may bring this shift to market.<br /><p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal">I agree here with the technical assessment made. I never doubt technical difficulties in bringing something like this. Its such like implementations which makes techies genius and architects of wonderful things adopted by masses.</p> <p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal">Please ponder over the following and then see if the above mentioned scenario is possible.</p> <p style="font-family: arial;" class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p> <ol style="font-family: arial;"><li>Are you hesitant to type the way I have said?</li><li>Is it uncomfortable to think about such typing?</li><li>Did you get typing on iPhone right in first instance or did it take time for adaptability? How about iPod’s click wheel?</li><li>Having a tablet PC with physical keyboard can only be differentiated if there is no need of keyboard and stylus with it? Also, does it remain tablet PC after that?</li><li>If its just mental block, it may take time getting accustomed on mass scale. That’s why it is on iPhone first.</li></ol><!--[if !supportLists]--><!--[endif]--> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0.25in; font-family: arial;"><o:p><br /></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0.25in; font-family: arial;">If its hesitance, uncomfortableness about QWERTY without physical keys, it'll go away. I think present 13" laptop is sufficient to make that change, no need of new smaller/larger form factor. One screen tablet PC makes you loose half screen with QWERTY present. Therefore, dual screen.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0.25in; font-family: arial;"></p><span style="font-family:arial;">No company other than Apple slick and audacious enough to bring it to masses by enticing them to ride a new paradigm shift. Many advanced technologies and novel ideas start from start-ups but they don't convince masses due to lack of their reach. So, Its Apple!!!!!</span> <span style="font-family:arial;">If you are polling, before submitting the poll think if Apple will bring it to market or not?</span> <span style="font-family:arial;">(After 6 months I would like to know how many of you still look on iPhone QWERTY to type. Also, for typing how many look down at the keyboard. Its a perception that when you press a key u see something on screen. If you touch you may see associated character on screen, is a possibility and not an impossible scenario. Changing lights or colors on type screen while typing. Going from blue to red (etc). I am diverting here from the main point, so back to the post.)</span>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-15371083820563273302007-06-20T06:16:00.001-07:002007-07-05T20:06:11.006-07:00iPhone/ Future of Computing/ Steve JobsI think the following has a pretty decent shot at becoming reality as people are getting comfortable with typing without physical keys with iPhone and on screen with multitouch technology. Screen is becoming more robust and better day by day.<br /><br />Definitely, if this is possibility then it may happen in 2H08 or 1H09 and start with Apple laptops.<br /><br />Reptitively and singing with chorus, I think iPhone is not new phone or music player or internet player or even device with 3 identities.<br /><br />iPhone is keyless keyboard device with QWERTY interface. If a person can think some years in future, following may happen starting Apple laptops:<br /><br />If QWERTY keyless keyboard is successful in iPhone. People adapt to change, which is possible and it is still QWERTY but without physical keys. Naturally, people will start to anticipate that there will be another Halo effect for apple laptops purchase, which is not complete picture.<b><u>Apple brings out its laptops with dual screen with physical keyless keyboard which comes up in similar fashion as iPhone. iPhone is a test vehicle for new interface wave. (Think mouse, gui earlier</u></b><br />Also, <b><u>Laptop's future was kept in full perspective during iPhone development.</u></b> Leopard makes it stronger. OS X was used in iPhone. I'll doubt if this change is an afterthought.<br /><br />Its another <div style="margin: 5px 20px 20px;"> <div class="smallfont" style="margin-bottom: 2px;">Quote:</div> <table border="0" cellpadding="6" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="alt3" style="border: 1px inset ;"> ONE MORE THING </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </div>from Steve Jobs in MacWorld.<br /><br />We are looking at another paradigm shift in laptops and people's interface to technology devices.<br /><br />Here apple brings another change in computing market and challenges PC market so fast that PC vendors are left not to play catchup but have serious trouble in adjusting to this paradigm shift.<br /><br />How to make PC competitors sweat. There will be some PC manufacturers who'll adapt, new players will flourish, older or existing will perish as always.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-87341144162402004212007-02-01T11:01:00.000-08:002007-02-01T11:10:38.868-08:00Excel sheet and numbers<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">I'll write about this later..</span><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Why this is good for day to day but creative engineers shouldn't be let done about this...</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Also, another snippet on why desktop wont be hit in India too and laptop, mobile will take the masses..</span><br /></div>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-84603283342846296282007-02-01T10:52:00.000-08:002007-02-01T11:01:17.503-08:00Dell Change with CEO / PC shuffle...<div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size:85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">I was talking a friend last nite.. What is wrong in Dell... Its productivity which has sucked creativity.. Obsession of numbers during transition time is never good... </span></span><br /><br /><span style="font-size:85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">What saves HP? it is their creativity in printer market and engineering research.. I hope Mark is not killing it by his obsession of numbers.. I think he is not by just looking at growth numbers not saving numbers.</span></span><br /><br /><span style="font-size:85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Also, one of the ex-dell employees posted the following which has gist of everything but I doubt Michael Dell has vision. He was always there for vision. His vision of Internet pure play to sell with lean mean manufacturing is done. His former trusted partners have left him behind.. Someone internal to company with maverick attitude like Vyomesh Joshi in HP has to make it happen from behind the scenes ..</span></span><br /><br /><span style="font-size:85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">"As a former Dell employee, current shareholder, and resident of Austin, it is hard not to keep up with the company since I left in 2000 to chase other opportunities. Still having several friends who are long time employees of the company, I oftentimes find myself having conversations about the explosive growth of the company between 1993 and 2000 (my tenure)and the problems that the company has recently experienced. Because I am no longer in the trenches of the day-to-day business, it would be impossible for me to point to specific areas of the company or practices that have caused the company to find itself in this position. However, I can say with great confidence that the direction of the company is being driven by managers and not leaders. Managers handle the day-to-day. Mangers do not create vision like leaders do, and when a company relies on managers to handle this task, they find themselves in trouble. The employees are uninspired, the products are bland, and focus goes by the wayside. When people look at a company as a place to "work" and to hang their hats, and no longer feel as though they have a stake in creating something better, you have to look to the top of the organization. The market has changed. The efficiencies in supply-chain management that once differentiated Dell from its competition, while still important, are not as great as they once were. It is time for a visionary to take the helm from the paralysis by analysis managers, pencil pushers who look solely at the bottom line, and "consultants" who justify their existence by telling people what they already know, and managers that are looking for a safe place to collect a paycheck, and get down to the business of once again creating "buzz" around the company. I certainly believe that if there is an executive with the ability to do that, Mr. Dell is the person. It is a difficult task that will involve many difficult decisions, but the time to do so has passed. I wish the company much luck as they once again try to define what their "vision" will be." </span></span><br /><br /><span style="font-size:85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">http://blogs.business2.com/utilitybelt/2007/01/dells_back_at_t.html?source=yahoo_quote</span></span><br /></div>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-27759552307769302422006-12-07T14:35:00.000-08:002006-12-07T14:36:51.634-08:00iPhone: Wimax and Webpage browsing<span style="font-size:85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">I say:</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">iPhone is all about Wimax and better internet browsability on smaller screen. For apple to succeed in this market, it has to solve user dilemma on similar lines as they did in music market. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Software: They'll provide a simple and very easier format to reimage the web pages on iPhone to make it great experience for people. He may open simple click and play APIs to developers where they have their web pages look awesome. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">Tech: Wimax is endorsed by Intel and wants it to desperately succeed and it gives apple leapfrogging scenario compared to other mobile phone manufacturers. Intel wants it for people to browse internet.</span><span style="font-family: arial;"> </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: arial;">No one has been able to solve this dilemma and everyone from different spheres of businesses have taken shot at at. Example: Nokia, Sony</span></span>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-71309142011247016332006-11-22T08:47:00.000-08:002006-11-22T08:57:39.785-08:00Dell Results: PC is overDell quarterly results are good and have beated the analyst expectations. The stock is up 10%. I like it.<br /><br />But I don't understand people are still not reading between the lines.<br /><br />Desktop lost the market. US enterprise sales were lower. Sales increase was meager. PC is dead. If overseas growth is anchor point, then also overseas market wont be able to provide much needed growth.<br /><br /><br />PC in US is going away. So Dell will loose money in desktop side, which is 60% revenue. Its hard to believe about margin play talk that they admitted to happen intentionally. Dell should spin off or sell off its PC desktop business and concentrate on laptops and servers. Stock price will keep shooting upward. US sales will come more under pressure going forward.<br /><br />If overseas PC growth will help PC desktop. I doubt it. There will be growth but less than historical standards seen in US or other developed economies. All emerging economies leapfrogged with Mobile and VoIP. Devices with these features are miniPC currently. More and more focus will be put on making them more like PC. PC will be lost and then fight is between form factor of laptops, cell phones or PDAs ( includes iPOD, Zune, PSP).<br /><br />I hope PC companies realize it and adjust their strategies accordingly.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-74754201689945079572006-11-12T00:13:00.000-08:002006-11-12T17:17:57.013-08:00Microsoft Vista/ Wii DisneyTwo news came out last week, which state " Demise of PC"<br /><br />Microsoft: We are done with Vista. ( Means: Our resources are now getting dedicated to Live). Windows on PC is done. Its going to be Live on Web. "<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2006/TECH/ptech/11/08/windows.vista.ap/index.html">Vista is done</a>"<br /><br /><br />Disney: Disney has dedicated studio for Wii. This means Apple Mac Mini is not doing good. 3 years down the lane, nintendo will be bought by apple. "<a href="http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20061107:MTFH93559_2006-11-07_16-28-40_N07404375&type=comktNews&rpc=44">Wii/Disney/Apple</a>"<br /><a href="http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20061107:MTFH93559_2006-11-07_16-28-40_N07404375&type=comktNews&rpc=44"><br /></a><br />I think I'll draw this conclusion. Web solution for PS3 online will be provided by google as Sony has an achilles heel there with Microsoft in lead with Xbox 360 live. Also, Sony codeveloped hardware with IBM and now IBM is selling google solutions through IBM services.<br /><br />Microsoft Xbox 360 LIVE / Sony IBM Google PS3 GMAIL / Apple Disney Nintendo Wii iLife<br /><br />What happens to PC? PC manufacturers are going to suffer more and more. Desktop PC is on decline.<br /><br />Will write more.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1154555435430438062006-08-02T14:40:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:36.198-08:00another delay in vistaAs I wrote earlier about imminent delay of Vista and masses and websites now pouring over and running their own customized news, I want to talk about this delay.<br /><br />Delay means not reaching market at right time. Microsoft 95, 2K, 2K3 were never perfect softwares but were released in the market due to the competitive pressures and market growth. Desktop/laptop growth was higher than current adoption rate. Vista is more now as replacement OS.<br />Delay is imminent but I think it shouldnt be done. Engineers/Engineering community will always be obssessed with near perfection and they also know nothing is PERFECT in the world. Vista is very large and complex project which doesnt need to be 100% perfect to work. It needs to work and run according to its main objective rather than the experimentation which small number of people will do. Windows 95, Windows 2K and Windows 2K3 just did that.<br /><br />Engineering perfection obessesion will leave Vista in labs for endless time and it'll keep on delaying. People can comment that it has to be delayed to work to perfection, everything but after a point a decision has to be made to release it. Sooner or better. Vista is supposed to work with everything which is impossible.<br />This strategy can never work. Google keeps everything beta just to avoid this embarrasment. Gmail will never get official release but remain beta and engineers/ITs will never be able to say anything.<br /><br /><br />Classic marketing/business/engineering/product case study.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1153765820423082482006-07-24T11:20:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:35.941-08:00AMD buys ATI.<span style="font-size:100%;"><span style="font-family:arial;">Simple beyond the lines.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Read further from the news headlines.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Apple/Intel, Micrsoft/IBM ( co-existence of ATIMD), SONY /IBM ( NVIDIA), DELL/HP/GATEWAY/OFF SHELF CREATORS? ????????.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">I dont see AMD in above list. If x86 has to survive with PC dying market, it has to have interoperable and seamless X86 extension into consumer market. Thats where AMD picked ATI for all other left x86 players to fight for the upcoming digital consumer market.</span><br /><span style="font-family:arial;"> Its industry driven. Manufacturing synergies and advantages ( IBM/AMD - BIG + for Microsoft). Can xbox360 work with PCs with ATI graphics cards seamlessly as the interoperability of two processor families from same company wont be question? </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Also, after looking at ATI website, its very obvious that AMD didnt buy it for GPU, it bought them for handheld and TV market. The company has impressive clientiel and would like to synergies of AUDIO/VIDEO streaming, editing across all technology products related to customers.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">HECTOR RUIZ comes back to work with Motorola, one of major ATI clientiel, which he left to resurrect AMD. Life comes full circle sometimes. :) </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Its ironical, Intel left the communication market after investing 10 billions dollars over 10 years and AMD is entering it now. I think its right time, right place and right move. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family:arial;">Analysts are idiots to figure this out. They can't think beyond quarters and they suffer with short term vision problem.</span></span>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1153060115624805472006-07-16T07:19:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:35.799-08:00Intel laying off 1000 managersIts headline everywhere, but its deepest impact is on business schools, managers and executive. This act empowers entreprenuership, a company's acknowledgement that its talent is not at fault for failure and recklessly letting them go is not the path to success.<br /><br />This is first time Paul Otellini impressed me. Any company's success lies in its individual contributor who are frustrated and are not able to perform in their fast mode everything possible to succeed. In nutshell, competition translates individual's fight in market against another individual. If an individual is not able to reach the market faster on his will to strike against its perceived competitor, it'll frustrate him. I think Paul understands that.<br /><br />I would like to see how Hector Ruiz re-charges his army and fights back. Amunition and artillery is there but it has to be more guided and precise. In last, every company will meet resistance on path of success.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1153059527961298912006-07-16T07:10:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:35.554-08:00Dawn to Dusk and then againIts a natural pattern which touches every living being. Its a metaphor used in human lifes " Chadhta Suraj". ( rising sun)<br /><br />A person while ascending in success is known everywhere. Everyone likes to discuss him, debate him, etc. But then when he goes down for a while, same people just think its over, the phenomen started and had died. No more same sun will ever rise.<br />Its ironical, that night after dusk makes people believe that. But when he rises again; people again talk about him and compare it with previous day. Person hitting a rough patch, a low time, doesnt necessarily translate his doom. He can come back and can rise, example: Amitabh Bachan, Alonzo Mourning and many others whom I dont know.<br /><br />A person going through rough and hard time doesnt translate to his inability. As my father always says: time is never same, it changes, it shows all colors. Dont let a person's resolve die or waver. Sun will rise and then again it'll be noticed.Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1150554437317983952006-06-17T07:11:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:35.385-08:00Steve Jobs is hurt as Bill Gates left<p> Steve may smile or may hate it. It was Bill and its troop who brought Apple down in 80’s. MSFT shunned them out of mass limelight and deprived of wealth and fortunes. </p> <p> This time with next showdown to happen in industry now, Steve Jobs is pretty confident that he is going to succeed against Bill and his troops (not MSFT). His execution is coming out perfected. Situation is that there are adversaries and then Bill is there to fight who could never be brought down by anyone. Its Steve time that he'll lead and Bill will follow, but suddenly Bill left, so what now? </p> <p> Apple is safer to execute its strategy and take command. I am sure they'll do it. </p> <p>But there are different questions which arise now and bother technology visionaries and leaders more than common people and analysts: </p> <p>Apple will be leader but they didn’t have a competitor who could bring them down. Steve with his success will always be bothered now when he'll ask himself “What would have happened if Bill was still there? I wanted to have that showdown to let people know that not only I have awesome vision but also excellent business execution. Bill left. People and I think that would Apple achieved same success if he would be leading his troops from Washington?" </p> <p> "You can try to achieve success but success will come on its own terms" </p>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1150553293639585012006-06-17T06:50:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:35.258-08:00Microsoft on path of being another IBM<p> ANOTHER DELAY IN VISTA ( NOT A JANUARY RELEASE ANYMORE) </p> <p> Microsoft, a phenomenon, albeit more hated for its monopolistic behaviour but also loved for delivering its stockholders and employees immense wealth until tech boom meltdown. </p> <p>Microsoft was young versatile and aggressive company in 80's and 90' s with mentality of winning. The passion remains there but drivers are tired of running on same path again and again. So to make it interesting do some crashes and stunts to get people notice that they are vulnerable or not see next highway exit and get lost to figure how to reach it back. Aging and overweight shows there. </p> <p>Its IBM of 80's where it was challenged by new players. New microsoft execs have fantastic credential but everyone in 80's IBM had same for their times but they lost. Wasn't OS/2 superb but didn't succeed. It was there in every IBM customer's shop and was sold to them but no new customer came and that led to its demise. </p> <p> As GOOGLE says " We don't look at past, its future we work towards" and they try to figure future by themselves, which Microsoft and Intel did in 80's and 90's and ultimately led to IBM meltdown. </p> <p>Compare any great company with visionary left, what happened to it. Company closed down or was saved and is only delivering on quarterly and yearly results. </p> <p>Microsoft will accelerate the missteps for a while as mass exodus from campus increases and then company misses new trends. Analysts will come calling to disintegrate the company ( same as IBM or other big companies). Board will then bring an executive who will be outsider and change the mindset and ask Microsoft to emphasize on its strength and milk its monopoly of Windows. </p> <p>MICROSOFT WILL BE ONE OF MAJOR HEAVYWEIGHT IN TECH INDUSTRY BUT WONT BE LEADER ANYMORE. ITS WEIGHT TO MOVE TECH IN A PARTICULAR DIRECTION WILL BE IMPORTANT BUT SETTING DIRECTION (RESPONSIBILITY) NOW WILL GO TO SOMEONE ELSE. ( WAIT 5YEARS to unfold as mentioned in this article). </p> <p> A challenge for Apple, next chapter... </p>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1148510009324576522006-05-24T15:32:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:35.076-08:00Vision/Execution/ Apple and Nike<p><b><span style="font-family: Arial;">Vision and Execution:</span><o:p></o:p></b></p> <p><b><span style="font-family: Arial;">===================</span><o:p></o:p></b></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">Is there a person/company who had both vision and execution? It’s asking to keep water and air together in bottle and trying to mix them. Both will be there and won’t mix with each other. If you insert too much water in the jar air will run out or vice versa. But both are essential to survival.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">Every company should try to balance both of them to keep it alive and moving forward. Obsession with one will kill you eventually. Execution is awesome but lacking vision will leave you empty handed to act in future. This process is gradual and not an instant, so realization is waking up on that decline curve and sees how long it has gone. If its worth to get everything right again or not. Companies die or re-invent themselves in these scenarios.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">AMD other one after Engineering vision needed Hector Ruiz's execution. Story is still unfolding in front of us.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">Vision also has same problems; too much thinking leaves no time to implement it better. If people don't get everyday food to eat, they can not dream of future as daily needs take first priority. The visionary himself is from separate class who can like a rishi go on without food for years to attain his cherished goal of his ultimate salvation.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><b><span style="font-family: Arial;">Technology and Business:</span><o:p></o:p></b></p> <p><b><span style="font-family: Arial;">======================</span><o:p></o:p></b></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">Carly's vision (she was not good at execution) with Hurd's execution (he disdains vision). HP suffered for a while but now is securely in race to get ahead of its competitor due to perfect Mark Hurd's execution of Carly's long sighted vision's But Mark will need to give HP a vision before he leaves HP and that will be next CEO. Meantime during his tenure he'll drive vision of HP's R&D (consumer, enterprise) and implement it perfectly.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">IBM under Lou Gesterner was all about execution in service market, that’s why other divisions suffered as they needed a vision for their future. Sam has vision but lacks execution rigor like IBM's ex-CEO. His vision has brought back Microelectronics back into business, Linux gaining ground on its competitors but services is suffering. I think Lou knew when he left IBM that in coming future IBM wont need execution rigor as it can get someone to get it right later down the lane, but would need a new big market vision and someone who can put them there at the start point and make it run on the initial blast for a while. Sam must have been the guy. Rest is happening in front of us.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p> <p><b><i><span style="font-family: Arial;">Apple and Nike:</span></i></b><i><span style="font-family: Arial;"> </span><o:p></o:p></i></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">Steve Jobs, as always, is master of putting headlines which people dissect for every obvious reason. But then he won’t be marketing genius if people can think about what he is thinking. The genius in him won’t tie up with Nike for that reason. </span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-family: Arial;">Let’s look from another angle, which seems more convincing, more revenue generating and more consumers penetrating.</span><o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-size:130%;"><span style="font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Medical area.</span> </span></span><o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom: 12pt; font-family: arial;"><o:p></o:p>If Nike starts selling shoes with IPOD compatibility, it won’t make any difference to Apple as shoes are sold by Nike. Ipods don’t sell on notion that they'll store my health data from my shoes. IPODs sell as complete package of human indenspibility of technology from his/her everyday life.<br /><br />If it’s a publicity stunt then it wouldn’t have been done.<br /><br />Let’s take this one step further. As people are becoming more health conscious, they are exercising more, visiting health clinics and health practitioners more. This trend is growing day by day as obesity and baby boomer phenomenon is coming to light. It'll be hard to track daily what these people do and how their health works. IPOD is supposed to capture all that data with the help of Nike shoes. Nike is no 1 in market share worldwide for shoes. (MARKET LEADER).<br /><br />So IPOD is for doctors and health practitioners to retrieve data to their system for the health analysis. This means more adoption for ITUNES, which further takes a set number of influential consumer classes into ILIFE. The community targeted here is very rich comparatively and don’t have any issues spending that loads of money on coolest gadgets, which work seamlessly in their personal and professional life. APPLE is simply the coolest product. Today a health practitioner may install Itune on your normal PC, but as compelling complete package offering a doctor/health practitioner may buy MAC mini, MAC book, IPOD. It brings more customers, more revenue to Apple and apple gets more entrenched into people's normal day to day lifestyle, which resonates Steve's ultimate vision “IPOD should be indisnsepble part of every person's life". Hence it completes the circle that Nike sells more shoes and apple sells more of ILIFE offerings.<br /><br />I THINK THIS IS VISION BEHIND THIS PRESS RELEASE BUT WE HAVE TO WAIT FOR COMPLETE EXECUTION TO PROVE IT TO BE TRUE.<o:p></o:p></p> <p><span style="font-family: arial;"><a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/060523/nike_ipod.html?.v=6" target="_blank" id="bodyLinks" rel="nofollow">http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/060523/nike_ipod.html?.v=6</a></span><o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p><p class="MsoNormal"><o:p>EVERYTHING IS MY OPINION AND THOUGHT PROCESS. ITS THE WAY I SEE THINGS.<br /></o:p></p>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1148482482252463712006-05-24T07:54:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:34.878-08:00Technology company DNA difference<h2 style="color: rgb(102, 102, 102);" class="postTitle"> Socialism and Capitalism, Apple and Dell's DNA difference </h2> <span style="font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">I recently read the Time magazine article about outsourcing. It'll happen at faster rate than expected as health care cost rises here. For medicos, I came up with following line:</span></span><br /><p class="MsoNormal" style=""><b><i><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; font-weight: bold; font-style: italic;">“Globalization in the form of socialism where you take money from few elite concentrated at a place via market competition and distributes it among many other in same profession around the world.” (Normalization in a profession)</span></span></i></b></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Just my thinking.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Also,</span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">An year ago I thought about Dell's strategy of Kiosk and thought malls shops were important looking at Apple store its location in mall, place, color, style. And Dell this week announced about opening stores in upscale malls. I am still doubtful about it as what Apple did was entirely different than opening upscale malls. Sometimes to be fast follower is not good. To win the race on car track, you need to know the track (VISION). Sharp turns cause unexpected delays, slowdowns which cause more wear and tear of car ( OPEX increase in Company financials). You expect the last mile of race is straight road ahead and assume to leap frog the cars ahead of you. It wont be the same anymore as the cars ahead are not fools to make that mistake again and as they know the path they may try to get an sharp turn which may create havoc for you and a chance of NO recovery at all.</span></span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Its funny that everybody in world today is raving about IPOD success from last 2 years. I saw Steve introducing it on one of news channel in 2001 and saying "this is future, I am holding". No one cared even commentators were laughing at him, thinking of Steve with previous Apple experience guy desperate to get attention. Knowing his history of success and failures in technology, I knew at that moment he is going to spin it for success subject to the condition that there should be no past mistakes of earlier smashit products. He is exactly following the path where he is not committing past errors. Complete authority and move by taking everyone with him in consumer market (content, sellers) for his product rather than alienating them previously in Macintosh. Also, you can say he wasnt in apple when company failed.<br /><br />IT WONT BE SURPRISING SOME DAY WE MAY SEE A SEARCH FEATURE FROM APPLE IN IPOD. WILL HE PARTNER OR WILL HE DEVELOP IN HOUSE? THATS WHY HE IS TECHNICAL MARKETING GENIUS AS YOU CANT PREDICT.</span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">SO WHAT IS YOUR MOOD TODAY (COMIC, THRILLER, SERIOUS). I'LL PROVIDE YOU OPTIONS FROM DIFFERENT NETWORKS. PICK AND CHOOSE.<br /></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Will write my thoughts more later.<br /></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style=""><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 85%;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">- Dhiraj</span></span></p>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27652259.post-1148476736462269012006-05-24T06:18:00.000-07:002006-11-12T00:11:34.677-08:00Predict technology business trends: Socialism and Capitalism, Apple and Dell's DNA difference<a href="http://dhiraj19.blogspot.com/2006/05/socialism-and-capitalism-apple-and.html">Predict technology business trends: Socialism and Capitalism, Apple and Dell's DNA difference</a>Dhirajhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10987168836804098953noreply@blogger.com0